Intermezzo

Intermezzo It was a predictable snoozefest in FX overnight as global holiday sessions crimped activity. And adding to the void, there was scant data during European hours which severely nipped action as traders had few if any fundamental guideposts. But the markets interlude included the usual holiday- liquidity induced mystery Continue Reading

Don’t go barking up the wrong tree in the Year of the Dog

Don’t go barking up the wrong tree in the Year of the Dog A predictable wave of profit taking and risk reduction, as is standard form ahead of US long weekends, dominated Friday session leading to USD gains as US  yields pulled back. And while the broader  US dollar negativity Continue Reading

Dollar Regains Ground Ahead of Fed Minutes

Higher US inflation fails to spark dollar revival The US dollar depreciated across the board versus major pairs despite consumer prices rising more than expected. Inflation anxiety had triggered a sell-off in global stock markets with the Fed expected to ramp up their interest rate hike path yet the dollar Continue Reading

US Bond Auction TIPS the dollar

US Bond Auction TIPS the dollar A dismal US 30year TIPS auction is weighing on dollar demand as the sagging bid to cover ratio of 2.31 is signalling dwindling investor appetite as inflationary headwinds build. The dollar is lower because no one wants to own US bonds despite the higher Continue Reading

US/German Bond Yield Gap Hits 10-month high

The gap between German and U.S. 10-year borrowing costs reached its widest point since April 2017 on Thursday after a higher-than-expected inflation print in the United States led to a sharp sell-off in U.S. Treasuries. While investors also shed European government bonds on the data – bond markets in the Continue Reading

U.S Producer Prices Rise in January

U.S. producer prices accelerated in January, boosted by strong gains in the cost of gasoline and healthcare, offering more evidence that inflation pressures were building up. The report came on the heels of data on Wednesday showing a broad increase in consumer prices in January. The Labor Department said on Continue Reading

US weekly jobless claims rebound from near 45-year lows

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits rebounded from a nearly 45-year low last week, but remained below a level that is associated with a tightening labor market. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 7,000 to a seasonally adjusted 230,000 for the week ended Feb. 10, the Labor Continue Reading

Dollar Dives on Confidence, No Support from Fundamentals

Thursday February 15: Five things the markets are talking about U.S bond yields have backed after an unexpected rise in U.S consumer inflation to its fastest pace in a year – the core’s +1.8% y/y print yesterday was higher than expected, but still below the Fed’s +2% target – making Continue Reading

At the Edge of a Cliff

At the Edge of a Cliff Was it the mixed data, skewed positioning or merely a lack of confidence that has the USD dollar precariously perched at the edge of the cliff. Everyone one to a tee went all in on a dollar buying frenzy after the CPI number, but Continue Reading

U.S. CPI Rises More Than Forecast on Apparel Costs

U.S. consumer prices rose by more than projected in January as apparel costs jumped the most in nearly three decades, adding to signs of an inflation pickup that have roiled financial markets this month. The consumer price index rose 0.5 percent from the previous month, above the median estimate of Continue Reading